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Prediction markets

62 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31
July 3199%
July 17
July 1799%1 more
$4.26MVol. Jul 31ai
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

1450+
1450+99%
1520+
1520+1%5 more
$508KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released on...?

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 999%
July 1450%37 more
$1.01MVol. Jul 31ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31
December 3199%
October 31
October 3198%6 more
$70KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by July 31
No release by July 3176%
July 17
July 1714%30 more
$243KVol. Jul 31ai
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

60%

chance

YesNo
$48KVol. Jul 19ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+1%
1480+1%2 more
$25KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1440+99%
1450+99%3 more
$78KVol. Dec 31ai
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?

$40B99%
$39B99%3 more
$35KVol. Jul 17ai